@ProfessorP0TTER: Alternate Viewpoint on Lincecum

As I’ve discussed previously, I hold out little hope that Tim Lincecum is going to be able to remain an effective SP for the Giants this year (and for whomever he plies his trade for after collecting $22M from the Giants in 2013).    At Beyond the Boxscore this morning, @ProfessorP0TTER has an alternate viewpoint.  Of course he is correct to point out that Lincecum’s strikeout rate remains excellent, and I think the point about Lincecum’s bad luck on fly balls leaving the yard has some merit – however, the increase in walk rate to me speaks to Lincecum’s fear of coming over the plate with declining stuff rather than a lack of command, and I wonder if the elevated HR rate will turn out to be commonplace.  In any event, the declining delta between his fastball and change combined with now average FB velocity to me indicates Lincecum is likely to continue to struggle unless he moves to the bullpen as he did in the playoffs and accepts a role as a 2-3 inning shut down reliever ala Goose Gossage in his hey day.

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About Bill Porter

Bill is an aspiring sportswriter (attorney by day) born in Washington DC, raised in New York, and currently living in San Francisco with his wife Kirsten and two spazzy labs, Fletch and Bear. Follow me on Twitter at @wfporter1972
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